Stanford @ No. 3 Notre Dame
10/10/2026, 7:30:00 PM · NBC · 75° · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy · 7–58 F
Our pick Notre Dame -40.0Covered by 11.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -38.0 → now -40.0 · total 55.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -39.5 | 55.0 |
| DraftKings | -40.5 | 55.5 |
Notre Dame ML · Model 100%
Stanford travels 1922 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Notre Dame -40.0OC Spread Notre Dame -44.5OC Total 53.54.5 pts vs market
StanfordPower ratingsNotre Dame
SP+Notre Dame by 36.0
-10.8
25.2
FPINotre Dame by 36.8
-10.0
26.8
Elo (pts)Notre Dame by 37.2
-14.2
22.9
CORENotre Dame by 46.3
-13.6
32.8
WEPANotre Dame by 29.9
-12.7
17.2
SRSNotre Dame by 30.6
-9.5
21.1
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from Notre Dame's side
- 2025 · Notre Dame 49–20unpriced
- 2024 · Notre Dame 49–7unpriced
- 2023 · Notre Dame 56–23unpriced
- 2022 · Notre Dame 14–16unpriced
- 2021 · Notre Dame 45–14unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Stanford | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.185 | 0.486 |
| Explosiveness | 0.630 | 1.950 |
| Havoc | 0.171 | 0.296 |
| PPA | -0.509 | 0.689 |
| Field position | 78.900 | 65 |
Passing
- Davis Warren · Stanford12/22 · 144 yds · 6.3 aDOT
- C.J. Carr · Notre Dame14/20 · 181 yds · 8.8 aDOT
- Noah Grubbs · Notre Dame5/7 · 56 yds · 7.7 aDOT
- Charlie Mirer · Stanford0/1 · 0 yds · 37.0 aDOT