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Syracuse @ UConn

10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM · CBSSN · 69° · Wind 4 mph · Clear · 42–41 F

Our pick UConn +6.5Covered by 5.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open +5.5 → now +6.5 · total 51.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada+6.550.5
DraftKings+6.551.5

UConn ML · Model 40% · Book 32% · value UConn

Syracuse off a byeSyracuse +9 days rest

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick UConn +6.5OC Spread UConn +3.0OC Total 51.03.5 pts vs market
SyracusePower ratingsUConn
SP+UConn by 3.5
-2.8
0.7
FPISyracuse by 7.8
2.4
-5.4
Elo (pts)UConn by 5.6
-6.6
-1.0
COREUConn by 8.5
-5.9
2.6
WEPAUConn by 5.3
-4.9
0.4
SRSSyracuse by 5.1
1.5
-3.6

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 0-5 · ATS 0-0 from UConn's side

  • 2025 · UConn 20–27unpriced
  • 2024 · UConn 24–31unpriced
  • 2022 · UConn 14–48unpriced
  • 2018 · UConn 21–51unpriced
  • 2016 · UConn 24–31unpriced

Game recap

MetricSyracuseUConn
Success rate0.5000.442
Explosiveness1.2501.380
Havoc0.1820.125
PPA0.2030.120
Field position69.10070.300

Passing

  • Kalieb Osborne · UConn20/40 · 401 yds · 11.6 aDOT
  • Amari Odom · Syracuse27/37 · 335 yds · 8.0 aDOT
  • Tucker McDonald · UConn1/1 · 4 yds · -4.0 aDOT

Win probability