No. 4 Miami @ No. 23 Clemson
10/3/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ABC · 77° · Wind 0 mph · Light Rain · 41–13 F
Our pick Miami -15.0Covered by 13.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +7.0 → now +15.0 · total 48.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +14.0 | 49.5 |
| Bovada | +15.5 | 47.5 |
Clemson ML · Model 7% · Book 15% · value Miami
Miami travels 622 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Miami -15.0OC Spread Clemson +18.5OC Total 48.03.6 pts vs market
MiamiPower ratingsClemson
SP+Miami by 20.0
24.7
4.7
FPIMiami by 19.0
26.1
7.1
Elo (pts)Miami by 17.1
19.7
2.6
COREMiami by 17.3
16.6
-0.7
WEPAMiami by 15.8
13.4
-2.4
SRSMiami by 15.4
20.2
4.8
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from Clemson's side
Game recap
| Metric | Miami | Clemson |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.524 | 0.394 |
| Explosiveness | 1.180 | 1.270 |
| Havoc | 0.155 | 0.143 |
| PPA | 0.346 | -0.121 |
| Field position | 74.200 | 68.200 |
Passing
- Tait Reynolds · Clemson29/44 · 295 yds · 6.4 aDOT
- Darian Mensah · Miami18/27 · 227 yds · 3.4 aDOT