Option Country
← Week 5 board

California @ UNLV

10/3/2026, 7:30:00 PM · CBSSN · Indoors · 31–39 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open -1.5 → now -2.0 · total 52.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-1.551.5
Bovada-2.053.0

UNLV ML · Model 65%

California travels 409 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread UNLV -4.5OC Total 52.02.5 pts vs market
CaliforniaPower ratingsUNLV
SP+UNLV by 6.0
-8.2
-2.2
FPIUNLV by 3.6
-6.9
-3.4
Elo (pts)UNLV by 10.7
-11.6
-0.9
COREUNLV by 14.9
-20.2
-5.3
WEPAUNLV by 11.4
-13.1
-1.7
SRSUNLV by 3.5
-9.7
-6.2

Head-to-head

Last 2: SU 1-1 · ATS 0-0 from UNLV's side

  • 2024 · UNLV 24–13unpriced
  • 2022 · UNLV 14–20unpriced

Game recap

MetricCaliforniaUNLV
Success rate0.3250.246
Explosiveness1.6802.050
Havoc0.1640.169
PPA-0.0540.121
Field position71.50065.500

Passing

  • Jackson Brousseau · California19/32 · 200 yds · 7.1 aDOT
  • Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele · California19/27 · 195 yds · 6.0 aDOT
  • Jackson Arnold · UNLV12/23 · 191 yds · 7.5 aDOT
  • Matt Byrnes · UNLV0/1 · 0 yds · 25.0 aDOT

Win probability