Boston College @ No. 21 SMU
10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM · CW · 74° · Wind 3 mph · Heavy Rain · 16–25 F
Our pick Boston College +21.0Covered by 12.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -21.0 → now -21.5 · total 55.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -21.5 | 55.5 |
| Bovada | -21.5 | 55.0 |
SMU ML · Model 93% · Book 90%
Boston College travels 1540 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Boston College +21.0OC Spread SMU -18.0OC Total 52.03.4 pts vs market
Boston CollegePower ratingsSMU
SP+SMU by 14.9
-1.5
13.4
FPISMU by 14.5
-4.0
10.5
Elo (pts)SMU by 15.8
-5.7
10.1
CORESMU by 7.0
0.1
7.1
WEPASMU by 3.9
-2.3
1.7
SRSSMU by 13.5
-7.5
6.0
Head-to-head
Last 4: SU 3-1 · ATS 0-0 from SMU's side
Game recap
| Metric | Boston College | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.400 | 0.359 |
| Explosiveness | 1.600 | 1.380 |
| Havoc | 0.219 | 0.262 |
| PPA | 0.056 | 0.076 |
| Field position | 76.600 | 59.600 |
Passing
- Mason McKenzie · Boston College20/31 · 208 yds · 6.3 aDOT
- Kevin Jennings · SMU19/29 · 146 yds · 6.5 aDOT
- Landon Wright · Boston College0/1 · 0 yds · 17.0 aDOT