Pittsburgh @ Virginia Tech
10/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPN · 70° · Wind 2 mph · Cloudy · 35–33 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -5.5 → now -1.5 · total 53.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -1.5 | 53.5 |
| Bovada | -1.5 | 53.0 |
Virginia Tech ML · Model 46% · Book 59% · value Pittsburgh
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Virginia Tech +1.5OC Total 51.52.8 pts vs market
PittsburghPower ratingsVirginia Tech
SP+Virginia Tech by 1.1
7.9
9.0
FPIPittsburgh by 2.3
8.4
6.1
Elo (pts)Pittsburgh by 4.4
5.0
0.6
COREPittsburgh by 2.5
1.2
-1.3
WEPAPittsburgh by 2.7
2.3
-0.5
SRSPittsburgh by 4.1
5.6
1.5
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Virginia Tech's side
- 2023 · Virginia Tech 38–21unpriced
- 2022 · Virginia Tech 29–45unpriced
- 2021 · Virginia Tech 7–28unpriced
- 2020 · Virginia Tech 14–47unpriced
- 2019 · Virginia Tech 28–0unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Pittsburgh | Virginia Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.290 | 0.400 |
| Explosiveness | 1.640 | 1.610 |
| Havoc | 0.147 | 0.210 |
| PPA | 0.072 | 0.116 |
| Field position | 63.600 | 71.200 |
Passing
- Ethan Grunkemeyer · Virginia Tech30/41 · 434 yds · 10.0 aDOT
- Mason Heintschel · Pittsburgh10/18 · 113 yds · 8.9 aDOT