Option Country
← Week 4 board

Delaware @ No. 25 Virginia

9/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM · ACC Network · 72° · Wind 8 mph · Clear · 3–42 F

Our pick Virginia -20.0Covered by 19.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -20.5 → now -20.0 · total 52.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-19.552.5
Bovada-20.052.5

Virginia ML · Model 97% · Book 89% · value Virginia

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Virginia -20.0OC Spread Virginia -25.0OC Total 52.05.3 pts vs market
DelawarePower ratingsVirginia
SP+Virginia by 17.5
-11.7
5.8
FPIVirginia by 12.8
-9.2
3.7
Elo (pts)Virginia by 3.3
-4.3
-1.0
COREVirginia by 0.4
-8.5
-8.1
WEPAVirginia by 2.2
-5.6
-3.4
SRSVirginia by 9.4
-8.3
1.1

Game recap

MetricDelawareVirginia
Success rate0.3130.528
Explosiveness0.8301.190
Havoc0.2080.438
PPA-0.0670.465
Field position73.70070.300

Passing

  • Beau Pribula · Virginia24/29 · 279 yds · 7.3 aDOT
  • Braden Streeter · Delaware2/16 · 9 yds · 16.6 aDOT
  • Eli Holstein · Virginia8/12 · 153 yds · 9.6 aDOT
  • Nick Minicucci · Delaware4/8 · 24 yds · 8.1 aDOT

Win probability