Central Michigan @ No. 6 Miami
9/26/2026, 10:30:00 PM · CW · 81° · Wind 4 mph · Rain Shower · 3–52 F
Our pick Miami -41.5Covered by 7.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -42.5 → now -41.5 · total 52.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -41.5 | 52.5 |
| Bovada | -41.0 | 52.0 |
Miami ML · Model 100%
Central Michigan travels 1244 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Miami -41.5OC Spread Miami -45.5OC Total 48.54.4 pts vs market
Central MichiganPower ratingsMiami
SP+Miami by 41.4
-16.7
24.7
FPIMiami by 40.8
-14.6
26.1
Elo (pts)Miami by 30.8
-11.0
19.7
COREMiami by 30.1
-13.5
16.6
WEPAMiami by 19.3
-5.9
13.4
SRSMiami by 33.3
-13.1
20.2
Head-to-head
Last 1: SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0 from Miami's side
- 2019 · Miami 17–12unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Central Michigan | Miami |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.192 | 0.641 |
| Explosiveness | 1.360 | 1.260 |
| Havoc | 0.231 | 0.462 |
| PPA | -0.183 | 0.663 |
| Field position | 74.600 | 64.600 |
Passing
- Darian Mensah · Miami23/27 · 338 yds · 6.2 aDOT
- Jadyn Glasser · Central Michigan13/15 · 88 yds · 6.1 aDOT
- Angel H Flores · Central Michigan5/7 · 20 yds · 0.6 aDOT
- Luke Nickel · Miami4/7 · 33 yds · 6.9 aDOT