Option Country
← Week 4 board

No. 23 Clemson @ California

9/26/2026, 2:30:00 AM · ESPN · 61° · Wind 11 mph · Clear · 24–10 F

Our pick Clemson -2.5Covered by 11.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open +1.5 → now +2.5 · total 52.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+2.552.5
Bovada+2.552.0

California ML · Model 29%

Clemson travels 2190 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Clemson -2.5OC Spread California +6.5OC Total 46.03.8 pts vs market
ClemsonPower ratingsCalifornia
SP+Clemson by 12.9
4.7
-8.2
FPIClemson by 14.1
7.1
-6.9
Elo (pts)Clemson by 14.3
2.6
-11.6
COREClemson by 19.5
-0.7
-20.2
WEPAClemson by 10.8
-2.4
-13.1
SRSClemson by 14.5
4.8
-9.7

Head-to-head

Last 1: SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0 from California's side

Game recap

MetricClemsonCalifornia
Success rate0.3640.362
Explosiveness1.3300.860
Havoc0.1900.121
PPA0.058-0.318
Field position77.70076.700

Passing

  • Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele · California16/29 · 119 yds · 7.3 aDOT
  • Tait Reynolds · Clemson13/21 · 108 yds · 9.3 aDOT
  • Mason Mini · California1/1 · 26 yds · 25.0 aDOT

Win probability