No. 5 Miami @ Wake Forest
9/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPN · 73° · Wind 0 mph · Heavy Rain · 33–20 F
Our pick Wake Forest +20.5Covered by 7.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +19.5 → now +20.5 · total 55.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +20.5 | 55.5 |
| Bovada | +20.0 | 56.0 |
| Draft Kings | +20.5 | 55.5 |
Wake Forest ML · Model 8% · Book 10%
Miami travels 703 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Miami
33
Our pick Wake Forest +20.5OC Spread Wake Forest +16.5OC Total 50.03.6 pts vs market
MiamiPower ratingsWake Forest
SP+Miami by 12.5
24.7
12.2
FPIMiami by 8.7
26.1
17.4
Elo (pts)Miami by 4.9
19.7
14.8
COREWake Forest by 2.1
16.6
18.7
WEPAWake Forest by 1.2
13.4
14.6
SRSMiami by 5.3
20.2
14.9
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 0-5 · ATS 0-0 from Wake Forest's side
- 2024 · Wake Forest 14–42unpriced
- 2013 · Wake Forest 21–24unpriced
- 2009 · Wake Forest 27–28unpriced
- 2008 · Wake Forest 10–16unpriced
- 2005 · Wake Forest 17–47unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Miami | Wake Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.441 | 0.422 |
| Explosiveness | 1.140 | 1.280 |
| Havoc | 0.141 | 0.044 |
| PPA | 0.251 | 0.054 |
| Field position | 76.300 | 73 |
Passing
- Giovanni Lopez · Wake Forest29/46 · 312 yds · 7.0 aDOT
- Darian Mensah · Miami30/34 · 230 yds · 4.5 aDOT