Syracuse @ Pittsburgh
9/17/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPN · 78° · Wind 10 mph · Overcast · 13–27 F
Our pick Pittsburgh -10.5Covered by 3.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -10.5 → now -10.5 · total 51.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -10.5 | 51.5 |
| Bovada | -11.0 | 51.5 |
| Draft Kings | -10.5 | 51.5 |
Pittsburgh ML · Model 88% · Book 78% · value Pittsburgh
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Pittsburgh -10.5OC Spread Pittsburgh -14.0OC Total 49.53.3 pts vs market
SyracusePower ratingsPittsburgh
SP+Pittsburgh by 10.7
-2.8
7.9
FPIPittsburgh by 6.0
2.4
8.4
Elo (pts)Pittsburgh by 11.6
-6.6
5.0
COREPittsburgh by 7.1
-5.9
1.2
WEPAPittsburgh by 7.2
-4.9
2.3
SRSPittsburgh by 4.1
1.5
5.6
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from Pittsburgh's side
- 2025 · Pittsburgh 30–13unpriced
- 2024 · Pittsburgh 41–13unpriced
- 2023 · Pittsburgh 13–28unpriced
- 2022 · Pittsburgh 19–9unpriced
- 2021 · Pittsburgh 31–14unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Syracuse | Pittsburgh |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.356 | 0.467 |
| Explosiveness | 1.240 | 1.190 |
| Havoc | 0.150 | 0.151 |
| PPA | -0.080 | 0.135 |
| Field position | 77 | 68.200 |
Passing
- Steven Angeli · Syracuse13/25 · 161 yds · 8.4 aDOT
- Mason Heintschel · Pittsburgh10/23 · 123 yds · 8.3 aDOT
- Amari Odom · Syracuse8/8 · 44 yds · 2.0 aDOT