No. 7 Miami @ Stanford
9/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM · ESPN · 68° · Wind 8 mph · Clear · 45–6 F
Our pick Stanford +24.5Did not cover by 14.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +23.5 → now +24.5 · total 46.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | +24.5 | 46.5 |
| DraftKings | +24.5 | 46.5 |
Stanford ML · Model 5% · Book 7%
Miami off a byeMiami +222 days restMiami travels 2565 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Stanford +24.5OC Spread Stanford +34.0OC Total 56.09.6 pts vs market
Win probability
Miami 95%Stanford 5%
MiamiPower ratingsStanford
SP+Miami by 35.5
24.7
-10.8
FPIMiami by 36.1
26.1
-10.0
Elo (pts)Miami by 34.0
19.7
-14.2
COREMiami by 30.2
16.6
-13.6
WEPAMiami by 26.1
13.4
-12.7
SRSMiami by 29.7
20.2
-9.5
Head-to-head
Last 1: SU 0-1 · ATS 0-0 from Stanford's side
- 2025 · Stanford 7–42unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Miami | Stanford |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.587 | 0.382 |
| Explosiveness | 1.320 | 1.140 |
| Havoc | 0.206 | 0.087 |
| PPA | 0.566 | 0.181 |
| Field position | 73.400 | 79.500 |
Passing
- Davis Warren · Stanford21/41 · 214 yds · 11.2 aDOT
- Darian Mensah · Miami27/30 · 401 yds · 8.1 aDOT
- Luke Nickel · Miami3/5 · 27 yds · 20.4 aDOT
- Mike Mitchell Jr. · Stanford1/1 · 7 yds · 4.0 aDOT