Option Country
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Hawai'i @ Stanford

8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ACC Network · 77° · Wind 9 mph · Clear · 27–37 F

Our total Over 48.5Covered by 15.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -4.0 → now -5.0 · total 48.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada-5.048.5
DraftKings-4.548.5

Stanford ML · Model 5% · Book 63% · value Hawai'i

Hawai'i off a byeStanford off a byeStanford +25 days restHawai'i travels 2399 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our total Over 48.5OC Spread Stanford -2.0OC Total 51.03.0 pts vs market

Win probability

Hawai'i 95%Stanford 5%
Hawai'iPower ratingsStanford
SP+Hawai'i by 1.2
-9.6
-10.8
FPIHawai'i by 0.5
-9.5
-10.0
Elo (pts)Hawai'i by 11.0
-3.3
-14.2
COREStanford by 0.3
-13.9
-13.6
WEPAHawai'i by 3.4
-9.3
-12.7
SRSStanford by 4.5
-14.0
-9.5

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from Stanford's side

Game recap

MetricHawai'iStanford
Success rate0.3550.452
Explosiveness1.2601.210
Havoc0.0820.184
PPA0.0490.326
Field position75.60072.500

Passing

  • Micah Alejado · Hawai'i30/50 · 269 yds · 6.5 aDOT
  • Davis Warren · Stanford22/34 · 310 yds · 9.4 aDOT
  • Bjorn Jurgensen · Hawai'i1/2 · 7 yds · 12.5 aDOT

Win probability