Baylor @ UCF
10/30/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ESPN · 77° · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy · 41–9 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -1.5 → now +2.0 · total 49.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | +1.5 | 49.0 |
| DraftKings | +2.5 | 49.5 |
UCF ML · Model 36% · Book 14% · value UCF
Baylor travels 973 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Spread UCF +4.0OC Total 49.01.9 pts vs market
BaylorPower ratingsUCF
SP+Baylor by 4.0
8.5
4.5
FPIBaylor by 8.2
11.2
3.0
Elo (pts)Baylor by 11.3
7.5
-3.8
COREBaylor by 15.6
12.9
-2.7
WEPABaylor by 9.9
10.0
0.1
SRSBaylor by 5.1
11.1
6.0
Game recap
| Metric | Baylor | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.474 | 0.289 |
| Explosiveness | 1.300 | 0.910 |
| Havoc | 0.444 | 0.123 |
| PPA | 0.304 | -0.205 |
| Field position | 63.900 | 74.700 |
Passing
- D.J. Lagway · Baylor16/25 · 319 yds · 11.7 aDOT
- Keyone Jenkins · UCF14/21 · 82 yds · 4.5 aDOT
- Alonza Barnett · UCF8/16 · 133 yds · 8.6 aDOT