Kansas State @ Arizona State
10/24/2026, 7:45:00 PM · ESPN2 · 76° · Wind 8 mph · Fair · 17–28 F
Our pick Kansas State -3.5Did not cover by 14.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +3.0 → now +1.5 · total 51.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +1.5 | 51.5 |
| Bovada | +1.5 | 51.5 |
Arizona State ML · Model 40% · Book 58% · value Kansas State
Kansas State travels 941 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Kansas State -3.5OC Spread Arizona State +3.0OC Total 53.01.4 pts vs market
Kansas StatePower ratingsArizona State
SP+Kansas State by 6.5
8.8
2.3
FPIKansas State by 3.3
4.7
1.4
Elo (pts)Kansas State by 4.8
3.8
-1.0
COREArizona State by 2.9
-4.1
-1.2
WEPAKansas State by 2.1
-1.8
-3.9
SRSKansas State by 3.0
3.2
0.2
Game recap
| Metric | Kansas State | Arizona State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.315 | 0.365 |
| Explosiveness | 1.020 | 1.380 |
| Havoc | 0.203 | 0.274 |
| PPA | -0.206 | 0.077 |
| Field position | 71.500 | 67.100 |
Passing
- Jacob Knuth · Kansas State26/41 · 194 yds · 6.1 aDOT
- Mikey Keene · Arizona State10/20 · 160 yds · 9.5 aDOT
- Jake Fette · Arizona State3/6 · 45 yds · 13.8 aDOT
- Cutter Boley · Arizona State1/5 · 7 yds · 14.8 aDOT