No. 2 BYU @ UCF
10/24/2026, 7:30:00 PM · Fox · 76° · Wind 9 mph · Rain Shower · 31–39 F
Our pick BYU -7.5Did not cover by 15.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +9.5 → now +7.5 · total 44.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +7.5 | 43.5 |
| Bovada | +7.5 | 44.0 |
UCF ML · Model 24% · Book 30% · value BYU
UCF off a byeUCF +8 days restBYU travels 1901 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick BYU -7.5OC Spread UCF +8.0OC Total 50.50.5 pts vs market
BYUPower ratingsUCF
SP+BYU by 12.2
16.7
4.5
FPIBYU by 12.0
15.0
3.0
Elo (pts)BYU by 12.0
8.2
-3.8
COREBYU by 15.8
13.1
-2.7
WEPABYU by 6.4
6.5
0.1
SRSBYU by 8.1
14.1
6.0
Game recap
| Metric | BYU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.391 | 0.518 |
| Explosiveness | 1.460 | 1.010 |
| Havoc | 0.108 | 0.130 |
| PPA | 0.234 | 0.223 |
| Field position | 79.800 | 71.500 |
Passing
- Keyone Jenkins · UCF25/42 · 308 yds · 4.9 aDOT
- Bear Bachmeier · BYU16/32 · 257 yds · 11.9 aDOT
