Option Country
← Week 8 board

No. 2 BYU @ UCF

10/24/2026, 7:30:00 PM · Fox · 76° · Wind 9 mph · Rain Shower · 31–39 F

Our pick BYU -7.5Did not cover by 15.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open +9.5 → now +7.5 · total 44.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+7.543.5
Bovada+7.544.0

UCF ML · Model 24% · Book 30% · value BYU

UCF off a byeUCF +8 days restBYU travels 1901 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

BYU

29

UCF

21

Our pick BYU -7.5OC Spread UCF +8.0OC Total 50.50.5 pts vs market
BYUPower ratingsUCF
SP+BYU by 12.2
16.7
4.5
FPIBYU by 12.0
15.0
3.0
Elo (pts)BYU by 12.0
8.2
-3.8
COREBYU by 15.8
13.1
-2.7
WEPABYU by 6.4
6.5
0.1
SRSBYU by 8.1
14.1
6.0

Game recap

MetricBYUUCF
Success rate0.3910.518
Explosiveness1.4601.010
Havoc0.1080.130
PPA0.2340.223
Field position79.80071.500

Passing

  • Keyone Jenkins · UCF25/42 · 308 yds · 4.9 aDOT
  • Bear Bachmeier · BYU16/32 · 257 yds · 11.9 aDOT

Win probability