TCU @ Baylor
10/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM · FS1 · 62° · Wind 4 mph · Clear · 17–6 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -5.5 → now -4.5 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -3.5 | 50.5 |
| Bovada | -5.5 | 50.0 |
Baylor ML · Model 67% · Book 65%
TCU off a byeBaylor off a bye
Ratings matchup
OC Spread Baylor -5.0OC Total 47.00.3 pts vs market
TCUPower ratingsBaylor
SP+TCU by 0.1
8.6
8.5
FPIBaylor by 3.9
7.3
11.2
Elo (pts)Baylor by 3.2
4.3
7.5
COREBaylor by 4.3
8.6
12.9
WEPABaylor by 5.5
4.4
10.0
SRSBaylor by 4.0
7.1
11.1
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from Baylor's side
Game recap
| Metric | TCU | Baylor |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.364 | 0.244 |
| Explosiveness | 1.440 | 1.590 |
| Havoc | 0.163 | 0.212 |
| PPA | -0.002 | -0.148 |
| Field position | 69 | 79.200 |
Passing
- D.J. Lagway · Baylor22/53 · 266 yds · 11.7 aDOT
- Jaden Craig · TCU21/36 · 294 yds · 8.6 aDOT