Kansas @ Kansas State
10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM · FS1 · 54° · Wind 5 mph · Clear · 24–35 F
Our pick Kansas State -3.5Covered by 7.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -7.5 → now -3.5 · total 55.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -3.0 | 55.5 |
| Bovada | -3.5 | 55.5 |
Kansas State ML · Model 72% · Book 64% · value Kansas State
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Kansas State -3.5OC Spread Kansas State -6.5OC Total 54.03.3 pts vs market
KansasPower ratingsKansas State
SP+Kansas State by 6.0
2.8
8.8
FPIKansas State by 0.1
4.6
4.7
Elo (pts)Kansas State by 0.3
3.5
3.8
COREKansas by 6.5
2.4
-4.1
WEPAKansas by 5.1
3.4
-1.8
SRSKansas State by 0.6
2.6
3.2
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from Kansas State's side
- 2025 · Kansas State 42–17unpriced
- 2024 · Kansas State 29–27unpriced
- 2023 · Kansas State 31–27unpriced
- 2022 · Kansas State 47–27unpriced
- 2021 · Kansas State 35–10unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Kansas | Kansas State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.328 | 0.474 |
| Explosiveness | 1.510 | 1.310 |
| Havoc | 0.105 | 0.246 |
| PPA | 0.034 | 0.236 |
| Field position | 75.700 | 67.500 |
Passing
- Isaiah Marshall · Kansas12/26 · 151 yds · 12.1 aDOT
- Avery Johnson · Kansas State14/24 · 209 yds · 9.2 aDOT