Cincinnati @ West Virginia
10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM · TNT · 51° · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy · 42–45 F
Our pick Cincinnati +2.0Did not cover by 1.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -2.0 → now -1.5 · total 64.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -1.5 | 64.5 |
| Bovada | -1.5 | 63.5 |
West Virginia ML · Model 45% · Book 52% · value Cincinnati
Cincinnati off a byeCincinnati +6 days rest
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Cincinnati +2.0OC Spread West Virginia +1.5OC Total 61.53.1 pts vs market
CincinnatiPower ratingsWest Virginia
SP+Cincinnati by 6.7
6.7
0.0
FPICincinnati by 3.1
4.6
1.6
Elo (pts)Cincinnati by 5.6
0.4
-5.3
CORECincinnati by 14.8
0.6
-14.3
WEPACincinnati by 8.8
1.5
-7.3
SRSCincinnati by 2.1
4.9
2.8
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from West Virginia's side
- 2024 · West Virginia 31–24unpriced
- 2023 · West Virginia 42–21unpriced
- 2011 · West Virginia 24–21unpriced
- 2010 · West Virginia 37–10unpriced
- 2009 · West Virginia 21–24unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Cincinnati | West Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.535 | 0.457 |
| Explosiveness | 1.560 | 1.530 |
| Havoc | 0.123 | 0.085 |
| PPA | 0.577 | 0.420 |
| Field position | 74.800 | 77.300 |
Passing
- Michael Hawkins Jr. · West Virginia25/33 · 464 yds · 8.6 aDOT
- JC French · Cincinnati22/30 · 389 yds · 10.1 aDOT