Iowa State @ No. 8 BYU
10/10/2026, 2:15:00 AM · ESPN · 72° · Wind 3 mph · Fair · 10–24 F
Our pick BYU -10.5Covered by 3.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -14.5 → now -11.5 · total 46.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -11.5 | 46.5 |
| Bovada | -11.0 | 46.5 |
BYU ML · Model 93% · Book 79% · value BYU
Iowa State travels 944 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
BYU
34
Our pick BYU -10.5OC Spread BYU -17.5OC Total 49.56.4 pts vs market
Iowa StatePower ratingsBYU
SP+BYU by 17.9
-1.2
16.7
FPIBYU by 12.8
2.2
15.0
Elo (pts)BYU by 6.2
2.0
8.2
COREBYU by 13.9
-0.8
13.1
WEPABYU by 10.2
-3.7
6.5
SRSBYU by 9.7
4.4
14.1
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from BYU's side
Game recap
| Metric | Iowa State | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.293 | 0.484 |
| Explosiveness | 1.100 | 1.320 |
| Havoc | 0.048 | 0.293 |
| PPA | -0.119 | 0.219 |
| Field position | 74.800 | 73.200 |
Passing
- Bear Bachmeier · BYU22/30 · 329 yds · 7.1 aDOT
- Jaylen Raynor · Iowa State16/29 · 98 yds · 4.9 aDOT