No. 22 Houston @ Kansas State
10/10/2026, 7:30:00 PM · FOX · 89° · Wind 10 mph · Clear · 35–16 F
Our pick Houston +2.5Covered by 21.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -2.5 → now -2.5 · total 55.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -2.5 | 54.5 |
| DraftKings | -2.5 | 55.5 |
Kansas State ML · Model 37% · Book 56% · value Houston
Kansas State off a byeKansas State +6 days restHouston travels 659 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Houston +2.5OC Spread Kansas State +4.0OC Total 57.06.4 pts vs market
HoustonPower ratingsKansas State
SP+Houston by 4.5
13.3
8.8
FPIHouston by 9.3
14.0
4.7
Elo (pts)Houston by 0.8
4.6
3.8
COREHouston by 14.8
10.7
-4.1
WEPAHouston by 8.2
6.4
-1.8
SRSHouston by 13.1
16.3
3.2
Head-to-head
Last 2: SU 1-1 · ATS 0-0 from Kansas State's side
- 2024 · Kansas State 19–24unpriced
- 2023 · Kansas State 41–0unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Houston | Kansas State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.522 | 0.439 |
| Explosiveness | 1.330 | 0.900 |
| Havoc | 0.195 | 0.087 |
| PPA | 0.508 | 0.079 |
| Field position | 73.800 | 74 |
Passing
- Conner Weigman · Houston19/30 · 242 yds · 8.5 aDOT
- Avery Johnson · Kansas State16/30 · 182 yds · 6.7 aDOT
