Arizona @ West Virginia
10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM · TNT · 69° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 52–31 F
Our pick Arizona -3.5Covered by 17.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +3.0 → now +3.5 · total 61.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | +3.5 | 61.5 |
| DraftKings | +3.5 | 61.5 |
West Virginia ML · Model 19% · Book 41% · value Arizona
Arizona travels 1798 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Arizona -3.5OC Spread West Virginia +10.0OC Total 60.06.6 pts vs market
ArizonaPower ratingsWest Virginia
SP+Arizona by 16.0
16.0
0.0
FPIArizona by 11.4
13.0
1.6
Elo (pts)Arizona by 17.3
12.0
-5.3
COREArizona by 33.3
19.1
-14.3
WEPAArizona by 17.6
10.3
-7.3
SRSArizona by 11.5
14.3
2.8
Head-to-head
Last 1: SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0 from West Virginia's side
- 2024 · West Virginia 31–26unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Arizona | West Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.481 | 0.371 |
| Explosiveness | 1.700 | 1.320 |
| Havoc | 0.143 | 0.250 |
| PPA | 0.371 | -0.104 |
| Field position | 67.600 | 69.200 |
Passing
- Michael Hawkins Jr. · West Virginia11/28 · 219 yds · 17.0 aDOT
- Noah Fifita · Arizona16/23 · 341 yds · 12.4 aDOT
- Sawyer Anderson · Arizona1/1 · 0 yds · -5.0 aDOT