West Virginia @ Iowa State
10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM · TNT · 67° · Wind 8 mph · Clear · 42–45 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -1.5 → now -3.0 · total 53.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -3.0 | 53.0 |
| DraftKings | -3.0 | 53.5 |
Iowa State ML · Model 68% · Book 58% · value Iowa State
West Virginia travels 733 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Iowa State -5.0OC Total 52.52.2 pts vs market
West VirginiaPower ratingsIowa State
SP+West Virginia by 1.2
0.0
-1.2
FPIIowa State by 0.6
1.6
2.2
Elo (pts)Iowa State by 7.3
-5.3
2.0
COREIowa State by 13.4
-14.3
-0.8
WEPAIowa State by 3.6
-7.3
-3.7
SRSIowa State by 1.6
2.8
4.4
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from Iowa State's side
- 2024 · Iowa State 28–16unpriced
- 2022 · Iowa State 31–14unpriced
- 2021 · Iowa State 31–38unpriced
- 2020 · Iowa State 42–6unpriced
- 2019 · Iowa State 38–14unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | West Virginia | Iowa State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.438 | 0.500 |
| Explosiveness | 1.840 | 1.300 |
| Havoc | 0.103 | 0.172 |
| PPA | 0.358 | 0.336 |
| Field position | 69.400 | 74.700 |
Passing
- Jaylen Raynor · Iowa State19/27 · 264 yds · 8.8 aDOT
- Michael Hawkins Jr. · West Virginia11/23 · 227 yds · 15.7 aDOT
- Aiden Flora · Iowa State2/2 · 48 yds · 9.0 aDOT