No. 12 Texas Tech @ Colorado
10/3/2026, 11:30:00 PM · FOX · 79° · Wind 7 mph · Clear · 29–7 F
Our pick Texas Tech -13.5Covered by 8.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +14.5 → now +13.5 · total 50.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +13.5 | 50.5 |
| Bovada | +13.5 | 49.5 |
Colorado ML · Model 7% · Book 18% · value Texas Tech
Texas Tech travels 481 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Texas Tech -13.5OC Spread Colorado +18.0OC Total 51.04.4 pts vs market
Texas TechPower ratingsColorado
SP+Texas Tech by 22.7
18.4
-4.3
FPITexas Tech by 17.6
16.8
-0.8
Elo (pts)Texas Tech by 22.6
13.4
-9.2
CORETexas Tech by 19.8
16.0
-3.8
WEPATexas Tech by 9.1
7.6
-1.5
SRSTexas Tech by 15.5
13.7
-1.8
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Colorado's side
Game recap
| Metric | Texas Tech | Colorado |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.297 | 0.400 |
| Explosiveness | 1.110 | 1.050 |
| Havoc | 0.113 | 0.234 |
| PPA | -0.225 | -0.180 |
| Field position | 67.200 | 75.500 |
Passing
- Isaac Wilson · Colorado26/43 · 290 yds · 8.0 aDOT
- Will Hammond · Texas Tech17/26 · 134 yds · 8.4 aDOT
- Joseph Williams · Colorado1/2 · 0 yds · 3.5 aDOT
- Kaneal Sweetwyne · Colorado1/2 · 7 yds · 0.0 aDOT