Option Country
← Week 5 board

No. 10 BYU @ TCU

10/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM · ESPN · 72° · Wind 4 mph · Rain · 17–10 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open +5.5 → now +6.0 · total 48.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+5.548.5
Bovada+6.048.0

TCU ML · Model 31% · Book 33%

BYU off a byeBYU +6 days restBYU travels 948 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

BYU

28

TCU

22

OC Spread TCU +5.5OC Total 50.50.1 pts vs market
BYUPower ratingsTCU
SP+BYU by 8.1
16.7
8.6
FPIBYU by 7.7
15.0
7.3
Elo (pts)BYU by 3.9
8.2
4.3
COREBYU by 4.5
13.1
8.6
WEPABYU by 2.0
6.5
4.4
SRSBYU by 7.0
14.1
7.1

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from TCU's side

  • 2025 · TCU 13–44unpriced
  • 2023 · TCU 44–11unpriced
  • 2011 · TCU 38–28unpriced
  • 2010 · TCU 31–3unpriced
  • 2009 · TCU 38–7unpriced

Game recap

MetricBYUTCU
Success rate0.3170.368
Explosiveness1.0901.240
Havoc0.2110.159
PPA-0.046-0.092
Field position69.40072.500

Passing

  • Jaden Craig · TCU18/25 · 187 yds · 6.9 aDOT
  • Bear Bachmeier · BYU11/24 · 62 yds · 6.4 aDOT

Win probability