No. 15 Utah @ Iowa State
9/26/2026, 7:30:00 PM · FOX · 65° · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy · 31–17 F
Our pick Utah -7.5Covered by 6.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +11.5 → now +7.5 · total 47.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +7.5 | 46.5 |
| Bovada | +7.5 | 47.0 |
Iowa State ML · Model 13% · Book 26% · value Utah
Utah travels 946 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Utah
31
Our pick Utah -7.5OC Spread Iowa State +13.0OC Total 49.55.5 pts vs market
UtahPower ratingsIowa State
SP+Utah by 19.2
18.0
-1.2
FPIUtah by 16.2
18.4
2.2
Elo (pts)Utah by 14.8
16.8
2.0
COREUtah by 23.0
22.1
-0.8
WEPAUtah by 15.5
11.8
-3.7
SRSUtah by 17.1
21.5
4.4
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from Iowa State's side
- 2024 · Iowa State 31–28unpriced
- 2010 · Iowa State 27–68unpriced
- 1976 · Iowa State 44–14unpriced
- 1975 · Iowa State 31–3unpriced
- 1972 · Iowa State 44–22unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Utah | Iowa State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.508 | 0.378 |
| Explosiveness | 1.110 | 1.200 |
| Havoc | 0.230 | 0.148 |
| PPA | 0.234 | -0.089 |
| Field position | 64.100 | 78.900 |
Passing
- Jaylen Raynor · Iowa State21/40 · 205 yds · 7.3 aDOT
- Devon Dampier · Utah18/27 · 206 yds · 7.8 aDOT