TCU @ UCF
9/26/2026, 7:30:00 PM · FS1 · 83° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 13–21 F
Our pick UCF +3.5Covered by 11.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +3.0 → now +3.5 · total 48.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3.5 | 48.5 |
| Bovada | +3.5 | 48.0 |
UCF ML · Model 61% · Book 40% · value UCF
TCU travels 1001 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick UCF +3.5OC Spread UCF -3.0OC Total 47.06.5 pts vs market
TCUPower ratingsUCF
SP+TCU by 4.1
8.6
4.5
FPITCU by 4.3
7.3
3.0
Elo (pts)TCU by 8.2
4.3
-3.8
CORETCU by 11.2
8.6
-2.7
WEPATCU by 4.3
4.4
0.1
SRSTCU by 1.1
7.1
6.0
Head-to-head
Last 1: SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0 from UCF's side
- 2024 · UCF 35–34unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | TCU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.368 | 0.455 |
| Explosiveness | 1.240 | 0.650 |
| Havoc | 0.109 | 0.206 |
| PPA | -0.069 | 0.011 |
| Field position | 72.500 | 68.300 |
Passing
- Jaden Craig · TCU25/40 · 295 yds · 9.1 aDOT
- Keyone Jenkins · UCF19/20 · 160 yds · 4.1 aDOT