Colorado @ Baylor
9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPN2 · 88° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 13–23 F
Our pick Baylor -8.5Covered by 1.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -8.5 → now -8.5 · total 54.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -8.5 | 54.0 |
| DraftKings | -8.5 | 54.5 |
Baylor ML · Model 85% · Book 76% · value Baylor
Colorado travels 741 mi
Ratings matchup
Our pick Baylor -8.5OC Spread Baylor -12.0OC Total 48.53.7 pts vs market
ColoradoPower ratingsBaylor
SP+Baylor by 12.8
-4.3
8.5
FPIBaylor by 12.0
-0.8
11.2
Elo (pts)Baylor by 16.6
-9.2
7.5
COREBaylor by 16.7
-3.8
12.9
WEPABaylor by 11.5
-1.5
10.0
SRSBaylor by 12.9
-1.8
11.1
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Baylor's side
Game recap
| Metric | Colorado | Baylor |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.370 | 0.351 |
| Explosiveness | 1 | 1.100 |
| Havoc | 0.203 | 0.247 |
| PPA | -0.027 | -0.074 |
| Field position | 80.700 | 61.300 |
Passing
- D.J. Lagway · Baylor19/39 · 221 yds · 8.3 aDOT
- Isaac Wilson · Colorado12/25 · 156 yds · 10.6 aDOT
- Julian Lewis · Colorado11/16 · 75 yds · -0.9 aDOT
- Joseph Williams · Colorado1/1 · 49 yds · 17.0 aDOT