No. 22 Houston @ No. 13 Texas Tech
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM · FOX · 86° · Wind 6 mph · Fair · 26–28 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -13.5 → now -8.0 · total 52.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -7.5 | 52.5 |
| Bovada | -8.5 | 52.5 |
| Draft Kings | -7.5 | 52.5 |
Texas Tech ML · Model 78% · Book 73% · value Texas Tech
Houston travels 467 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread Texas Tech -8.5OC Total 54.50.9 pts vs market
HoustonPower ratingsTexas Tech
SP+Texas Tech by 5.1
13.3
18.4
FPITexas Tech by 2.7
14.0
16.8
Elo (pts)Texas Tech by 8.8
4.6
13.4
CORETexas Tech by 5.3
10.7
16.0
WEPATexas Tech by 1.2
6.4
7.6
SRSHouston by 2.6
16.3
13.7
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from Texas Tech's side
- 2025 · Texas Tech 35–11unpriced
- 2023 · Texas Tech 49–28unpriced
- 2022 · Texas Tech 33–30unpriced
- 2021 · Texas Tech 38–21unpriced
- 2018 · Texas Tech 63–49unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Houston | Texas Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.506 | 0.475 |
| Explosiveness | 1.020 | 1.410 |
| Havoc | 0.148 | 0.130 |
| PPA | 0.283 | 0.261 |
| Field position | 76.500 | 74.100 |
Passing
- Conner Weigman · Houston27/38 · 282 yds · 6.4 aDOT
- Will Hammond · Texas Tech17/27 · 257 yds · 12.0 aDOT
- Thomas Castellanos · Texas Tech0/1 · 0 yds · 30.0 aDOT