Option Country
← Week 2 board

Arizona @ No. 15 BYU

9/12/2026, 7:30:00 PM · FOX · 92° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 17–28 F

Our pick BYU -7.0Covered by 4.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -6.5 → now -7.0 · total 49.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
Bovada-7.049.0
DraftKings-6.549.5

BYU ML · Model 83% · Book 72% · value BYU

Arizona travels 556 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick BYU -7.0OC Spread BYU -11.0OC Total 52.04.1 pts vs market
ArizonaPower ratingsBYU
SP+BYU by 0.7
16.0
16.7
FPIBYU by 2.0
13.0
15.0
Elo (pts)Arizona by 3.8
12.0
8.2
COREArizona by 6.0
19.1
13.1
WEPAArizona by 3.8
10.3
6.5
SRSArizona by 0.2
14.3
14.1

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from BYU's side

  • 2025 · BYU 33–27unpriced
  • 2024 · BYU 41–19unpriced
  • 2021 · BYU 24–16unpriced
  • 2018 · BYU 28–23unpriced
  • 2016 · BYU 18–16unpriced

Game recap

MetricArizonaBYU
Success rate0.4130.517
Explosiveness1.1501.270
Havoc0.0340.127
PPA0.1870.460
Field position73.70070

Passing

  • Noah Fifita · Arizona23/31 · 230 yds · 8.3 aDOT
  • Bear Bachmeier · BYU16/26 · 217 yds · 9.1 aDOT

Win probability