Option Country
← Week 2 board

Arizona @ No. 15 BYU

9/12/2026, 7:30:00 PM · FOX · 92° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 1728 F

Our pick BYU -7.0Covered by 4.0

Line movement

Home spread. Open -6.5 → now -7.0 · total 49.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-7.048.5
Bovada-7.049.0
Draft Kings-6.549.5

BYU ML · Model 83% · Book 72% · value BYU

Arizona travels 556 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick BYU -7.0OC Spread BYU -11.0OC Total 52.04.1 pts vs market
ArizonaPower ratingsBYU
SP+BYU by 6.5
10.3
16.8
FPIBYU by 9.3
6.0
15.4
Elo (pts)BYU by 3.0
4.3
7.3
COREBYU by 4.3
0.9
5.2

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 5-0 · ATS 0-0 from BYU's side

  • 2025 · BYU 3327unpriced
  • 2024 · BYU 4119unpriced
  • 2021 · BYU 2416unpriced
  • 2018 · BYU 2823unpriced
  • 2016 · BYU 1816unpriced

Game recap

MetricArizonaBYU
Success rate0.4130.517
Explosiveness1.1501.270
Havoc0.0340.127
PPA0.1870.460
Field position73.70070

Passing

  • Noah Fifita · Arizona23/31 · 230 yds · 8.3 aDOT
  • Bear Bachmeier · BYU16/26 · 217 yds · 9.1 aDOT

Win probability