No. 2 Notre Dame @ No. 8 BYU
10/17/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ABC · 66° · Wind 2 mph · Clear · 24–28 F
Our pick BYU +10.5Covered by 14.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +10.0 → now +10.5 · total 47.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +10.5 | 47.5 |
| Bovada | +10.5 | 47.0 |
BYU ML · Model 29% · Book 23% · value BYU
Notre Dame travels 1325 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
BYU
23
Our pick BYU +10.5OC Spread BYU +6.5OC Total 51.54.2 pts vs market
Notre DamePower ratingsBYU
SP+Notre Dame by 8.5
25.2
16.7
FPINotre Dame by 11.9
26.8
15.0
Elo (pts)Notre Dame by 14.7
22.9
8.2
CORENotre Dame by 19.6
32.8
13.1
WEPANotre Dame by 10.7
17.2
6.5
SRSNotre Dame by 7.0
21.1
14.1
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 1-4 · ATS 0-0 from BYU's side
Game recap
| Metric | Notre Dame | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.392 | 0.464 |
| Explosiveness | 1.330 | 1.160 |
| Havoc | 0.101 | 0.139 |
| PPA | 0.243 | 0.161 |
| Field position | 70.100 | 75.700 |
Passing
- C.J. Carr · Notre Dame27/49 · 261 yds · 10.7 aDOT
- Bear Bachmeier · BYU23/36 · 224 yds · 9.1 aDOT
- Kyler Kasper · BYU1/1 · 15 yds · -6.0 aDOT