Hawai'i @ Arizona State
10/11/2026, 2:30:00 AM · FS1 · 79° · Wind 5 mph · Overcast · 12–30 F
Our pick Hawai'i +21.0Covered by 3.0
1st & 10 at ASU 14
Line movement
Home spread. Open -21.0 → now -21.0 · total 51.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -20.5 | 51.5 |
| Bovada | -21.0 | 51.0 |
Arizona State ML · Model 92% · Book 91%
Hawai'i travels 2913 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Hawai'i +21.0OC Spread Arizona State -16.5OC Total 49.54.0 pts vs market
Hawai'iPower ratingsArizona State
SP+Arizona State by 11.9
-9.6
2.3
FPIArizona State by 10.9
-9.5
1.4
Elo (pts)Arizona State by 2.2
-3.3
-1.0
COREArizona State by 12.7
-13.9
-1.2
WEPAArizona State by 5.4
-9.3
-3.9
SRSArizona State by 14.2
-14.0
0.2
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Arizona State's side
- 2006 · Arizona State 24–41unpriced
- 1979 · Arizona State 17–29unpriced
- 1974 · Arizona State 26–3unpriced
- 1959 · Arizona State 14–6unpriced
- 1958 · Arizona State 47–6unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Hawai'i | Arizona State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.395 | 0.541 |
| Explosiveness | 1.060 | 1.040 |
| Havoc | 0.131 | 0.184 |
| PPA | -0.084 | 0.299 |
| Field position | 73.600 | 75.800 |
Passing
- Micah Alejado · Hawai'i25/49 · 252 yds · 7.9 aDOT
- Cutter Boley · Arizona State21/31 · 189 yds · 6.4 aDOT
- Bjorn Jurgensen · Hawai'i1/2 · 0 yds · 0.0 aDOT