Option Country
← Week 4 board

No. 25 Houston @ Georgia Southern

9/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM · ESPNU · 81° · Wind 5 mph · Clear · 42–28 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open +19.5 → now +17.5 · total 56.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+17.556.5
Bovada+17.056.5

Georgia Southern ML · Model 8% · Book 13% · value Houston

Houston travels 823 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread Georgia Southern +17.0OC Total 57.50.3 pts vs market
HoustonPower ratingsGeorgia Southern
SP+Houston by 18.1
13.3
-4.8
FPIHouston by 17.7
14.0
-3.6
Elo (pts)Houston by 8.5
4.6
-3.9
COREHouston by 8.5
10.7
2.1
WEPAHouston by 4.0
6.4
2.5
SRSHouston by 18.5
16.3
-2.2

Game recap

MetricHoustonGeorgia Southern
Success rate0.5940.493
Explosiveness1.0901.320
Havoc0.1940.047
PPA0.4750.360
Field position63.90076.100

Passing

  • Max Johnson · Georgia Southern26/38 · 284 yds · 9.5 aDOT
  • Conner Weigman · Houston17/22 · 239 yds · 9.2 aDOT
  • Weston Bryan · Georgia Southern1/1 · 5 yds · 5.0 aDOT

Win probability