Sam Houston @ No. 11 Texas Tech
9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM · TNT · 79° · Wind 7 mph · Fair · 14–49 F
Our pick Sam Houston +35.0PPushed
Line movement
Home spread. Open -37.5 → now -34.5 · total 56.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -34.5 | 55.5 |
| Bovada | -34.5 | 56.0 |
Texas Tech ML · Model 99%
Sam Houston travels 420 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Sam Houston +35.0OC Spread Texas Tech -33.5OC Total 53.50.8 pts vs market
Sam HoustonPower ratingsTexas Tech
SP+Texas Tech by 36.4
-18.0
18.4
FPITexas Tech by 36.1
-19.3
16.8
Elo (pts)Texas Tech by 30.9
-17.5
13.4
CORETexas Tech by 36.4
-20.4
16.0
WEPATexas Tech by 20.6
-13.0
7.6
SRSTexas Tech by 30.4
-16.7
13.7
Head-to-head
Last 2: SU 2-0 · ATS 0-0 from Texas Tech's side
- 2015 · Texas Tech 59–45unpriced
- 2005 · Texas Tech 80–21unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Sam Houston | Texas Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.351 | 0.667 |
| Explosiveness | 1.410 | 1.010 |
| Havoc | 0.278 | 0.281 |
| PPA | -0.248 | 0.330 |
| Field position | 66.900 | 71.400 |
Passing
- Landyn Locke · Sam Houston23/36 · 195 yds · 7.2 aDOT
- Will Hammond · Texas Tech17/29 · 224 yds · 9.0 aDOT
- Thomas Castellanos · Texas Tech1/2 · 27 yds · 18.5 aDOT
- Brett Holloway · Sam Houston0/1 · 0 yds · -4.0 aDOT