West Virginia vs No. 25 Virginia
9/19/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ACC Network · 85° · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy · 38–27 F
Our pick West Virginia +10.5Covered by 21.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -8.5 → now -10.5 · total 51.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -10.5 | 51.5 |
| Bovada | -11.0 | 51.5 |
| Draft Kings | -10.5 | 51.5 |
Virginia ML · Model 67% · Book 76% · value West Virginia
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick West Virginia +10.5OC Spread Virginia -5.0OC Total 51.55.7 pts vs market
West VirginiaPower ratingsVirginia
SP+Virginia by 5.8
0.0
5.8
FPIVirginia by 2.1
1.6
3.7
Elo (pts)Virginia by 4.3
-5.3
-1.0
COREVirginia by 6.1
-14.3
-8.1
WEPAVirginia by 3.9
-7.3
-3.4
SRSWest Virginia by 1.7
2.8
1.1
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Virginia's side
Game recap
| Metric | West Virginia | Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.406 | 0.389 |
| Explosiveness | 1.400 | 1.170 |
| Havoc | 0.111 | 0.072 |
| PPA | 0.295 | 0.155 |
| Field position | 69.300 | 71.500 |
Passing
- Beau Pribula · Virginia21/33 · 197 yds · 7.4 aDOT
- Michael Hawkins Jr. · West Virginia10/17 · 190 yds · 14.9 aDOT