Arkansas State @ TCU
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM · ESPNU · 91° · Wind 7 mph · Clear · 7–31 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -20.5 → now -19.0 · total 56.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -18.5 | 56.5 |
| Bovada | -19.5 | 56.0 |
| Draft Kings | -18.5 | 56.5 |
TCU ML · Model 96% · Book 89% · value TCU
Arkansas State travels 440 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
OC Spread TCU -21.5OC Total 54.02.5 pts vs market
Arkansas StatePower ratingsTCU
SP+TCU by 15.6
-7.0
8.6
FPITCU by 15.9
-8.6
7.3
Elo (pts)TCU by 11.1
-6.8
4.3
CORETCU by 15.5
-6.9
8.6
WEPATCU by 6.6
-2.2
4.4
SRSTCU by 14.9
-7.8
7.1
Head-to-head
Last 2: SU 2-0 · ATS 0-0 from TCU's side
Game recap
| Metric | Arkansas State | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.340 | 0.456 |
| Explosiveness | 1.200 | 1.350 |
| Havoc | 0.103 | 0.151 |
| PPA | -0.220 | 0.213 |
| Field position | 73.500 | 72.500 |
Passing
- Jaden Craig · TCU21/29 · 346 yds · 10.9 aDOT
- Trey Owens · Arkansas State11/24 · 133 yds · 12.0 aDOT