Colorado @ Northwestern
9/19/2026, 11:30:00 PM · FOX · 66° · Wind 0 mph · Fog · 7–41 F
Our pick Northwestern -3.5Covered by 30.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -2.5 → now -3.5 · total 47.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -3.5 | 47.5 |
| Bovada | -3.5 | 48.0 |
| Draft Kings | -3.5 | 47.5 |
Northwestern ML · Model 85% · Book 62% · value Northwestern
Northwestern off a byeNorthwestern +6 days restColorado travels 926 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Northwestern -3.5OC Spread Northwestern -12.0OC Total 49.08.7 pts vs market
ColoradoPower ratingsNorthwestern
SP+Northwestern by 18.0
-4.3
13.7
FPINorthwestern by 14.4
-0.8
13.5
Elo (pts)Northwestern by 19.0
-9.2
9.8
CORENorthwestern by 19.8
-3.8
16.0
WEPANorthwestern by 13.8
-1.5
12.3
SRSNorthwestern by 16.1
-1.8
14.3
Head-to-head
Last 2: SU 1-1 · ATS 0-0 from Northwestern's side
- 1978 · Northwestern 7–55unpriced
- 1951 · Northwestern 35–14unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Colorado | Northwestern |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.431 | 0.544 |
| Explosiveness | 1.120 | 0.970 |
| Havoc | 0.140 | 0.216 |
| PPA | -0.092 | 0.260 |
| Field position | 75.300 | 65.600 |
Passing
- Julian Lewis · Colorado19/29 · 168 yds · 8.1 aDOT
- Aidan Chiles · Northwestern17/22 · 241 yds · 8.2 aDOT