Northern Illinois @ Arizona
9/20/2026, 2:30:00 AM · TNT · 85° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 17–42 F
Our pick Northern Illinois +35.5Covered by 10.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -35.5 → now -34.5 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -34.5 | 50.5 |
| Bovada | -34.5 | 50.0 |
| Draft Kings | -34.5 | 50.5 |
Arizona ML · Model 98% · Book 95%
Northern Illinois travels 1388 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Northern Illinois +35.5OC Spread Arizona -28.0OC Total 50.56.4 pts vs market
Northern IllinoisPower ratingsArizona
SP+Arizona by 41.4
-25.4
16.0
FPIArizona by 34.5
-21.5
13.0
Elo (pts)Arizona by 28.9
-16.9
12.0
COREArizona by 40.5
-21.4
19.1
WEPAArizona by 23.5
-13.2
10.3
SRSArizona by 36.3
-22.0
14.3
Game recap
| Metric | Northern Illinois | Arizona |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.404 | 0.540 |
| Explosiveness | 1.290 | 1.530 |
| Havoc | 0.180 | 0.154 |
| PPA | -0.002 | 0.628 |
| Field position | 69.400 | 77 |
Passing
- Taron Dickens · Northern Illinois25/37 · 228 yds · 8.4 aDOT
- Noah Fifita · Arizona31/34 · 325 yds · 7.2 aDOT
- Brady Davidson · Northern Illinois4/6 · 27 yds · 9.5 aDOT
- Sawyer Anderson · Arizona1/3 · 32 yds · 16.7 aDOT