UCF @ Pittsburgh
9/12/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN2 · 75° · Wind 3 mph · Light Rain · 7–12 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -8.5 → now -7.0 · total 55.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -7.0 | 55.5 |
| Bovada | -7.0 | 55.0 |
| Draft Kings | -7.5 | 55.5 |
Pittsburgh ML · Model 77% · Book 72% · value Pittsburgh
UCF travels 821 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
UCF
20
OC Spread Pittsburgh -8.5OC Total 49.01.4 pts vs market
UCFPower ratingsPittsburgh
SP+Pittsburgh by 4.4
5.6
10.0
FPIPittsburgh by 6.9
4.7
11.6
Elo (pts)Pittsburgh by 8.4
-1.3
7.1
COREPittsburgh by 5.4
-0.1
5.2
Head-to-head
Last 3: SU 2-1 · ATS 0-0 from Pittsburgh's side
- 2019 · Pittsburgh 35–34unpriced
- 2018 · Pittsburgh 14–45unpriced
- 2006 · Pittsburgh 52–7unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | UCF | Pittsburgh |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.278 | 0.361 |
| Explosiveness | 1.440 | 1.060 |
| Havoc | 0.111 | 0.278 |
| PPA | -0.078 | -0.005 |
| Field position | 75.800 | 68.600 |
Passing
- Alonza Barnett · UCF20/31 · 186 yds · 5.7 aDOT
- Mason Heintschel · Pittsburgh18/29 · 212 yds · 8.2 aDOT