Iowa State @ No. 21 Iowa
9/12/2026, 11:30:00 PM · NBC · 76° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 13–16 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -11.5 → now -14.0 · total 42.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -14.0 | 42.5 |
| Bovada | -14.0 | 42.5 |
Iowa ML · Model 85% · Book 83%
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Iowa
29
OC Spread Iowa -12.0OC Total 45.51.8 pts vs market
Iowa StatePower ratingsIowa
SP+Iowa by 13.6
-1.2
12.4
FPIIowa by 11.7
2.2
13.9
Elo (pts)Iowa by 14.4
2.0
16.4
COREIowa by 10.4
-0.8
9.5
WEPAIowa by 5.1
-3.7
1.4
SRSIowa by 9.9
4.4
14.3
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Iowa's side
Game recap
| Metric | Iowa State | Iowa |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.291 | 0.383 |
| Explosiveness | 1.110 | 0.900 |
| Havoc | 0.083 | 0.145 |
| PPA | 0.075 | 0.026 |
| Field position | 75.800 | 68.900 |
Passing
- Hank Brown · Iowa21/30 · 191 yds · 8.4 aDOT
- Jaylen Raynor · Iowa State10/19 · 117 yds · 12.5 aDOT