Washington State @ Kansas State
9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM · TNT · 74° · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy · 7–34 F
Our pick Kansas State -17.5Covered by 9.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open -16.5 → now -17.5 · total 48.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -17.5 | 48.5 |
| Bovada | -18.0 | 48.0 |
| Draft Kings | -17.5 | 48.5 |
Kansas State ML · Model 96% · Book 88% · value Kansas State
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Kansas State -17.5OC Spread Kansas State -22.0OC Total 50.04.4 pts vs market
Washington StatePower ratingsKansas State
SP+Kansas State by 20.8
-6.9
13.9
FPIKansas State by 18.6
-7.7
10.9
Elo (pts)Kansas State by 6.0
1.3
7.4
COREKansas State by 9.7
-3.7
6.1
Game recap
| Metric | Washington State | Kansas State |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.270 | 0.469 |
| Explosiveness | 0.880 | 1.490 |
| Havoc | 0.141 | 0.324 |
| PPA | -0.118 | 0.216 |
| Field position | 74 | 69.300 |
Passing
- Avery Johnson · Kansas State22/33 · 192 yds · 7.3 aDOT
- Caden Pinnick · Washington State9/20 · 65 yds · 9.6 aDOT
