Option Country
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Washington State @ Kansas State

9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM · TNT · 74° · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy · 7–34 F

Our pick Kansas State -17.5Covered by 9.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -16.5 → now -18.0 · total 48.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-17.548.5
Bovada-18.048.0

Kansas State ML · Model 96% · Book 88% · value Kansas State

Washington State travels 1158 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Kansas State -17.5OC Spread Kansas State -22.0OC Total 50.04.4 pts vs market
Washington StatePower ratingsKansas State
SP+Kansas State by 22.9
-14.1
8.8
FPIKansas State by 13.8
-9.1
4.7
Elo (pts)Kansas State by 7.7
-3.9
3.8
COREKansas State by 12.8
-16.9
-4.1
WEPAKansas State by 7.3
-9.1
-1.8
SRSKansas State by 11.2
-8.0
3.2

Game recap

MetricWashington StateKansas State
Success rate0.2700.469
Explosiveness0.8801.490
Havoc0.1410.324
PPA-0.1180.216
Field position7469.300

Passing

  • Avery Johnson · Kansas State22/33 · 192 yds · 7.3 aDOT
  • Caden Pinnick · Washington State9/20 · 65 yds · 9.6 aDOT

Win probability