Oregon State @ No. 23 Houston
9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPN · 89° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 20–33 F
Our pick Oregon State +21.0Covered by 8.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -21.0 → now -21.0 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -20.5 | 50.5 |
| DraftKings | -21.0 | 50.5 |
Houston ML · Model 93% · Book 89%
Oregon State off a byeHouston off a byeOregon State +28 days restOregon State travels 1834 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Oregon State +21.0OC Spread Houston -10.5OC Total 57.510.4 pts vs market
Win probability
Oregon State 7%Houston 93%
Oregon StatePower ratingsHouston
SP+Houston by 6.7
6.6
13.3
FPIHouston by 9.9
4.2
14.0
Elo (pts)Houston by 1.5
3.1
4.6
COREHouston by 4.2
6.5
10.7
WEPAHouston by 0.9
5.5
6.4
SRSHouston by 8.2
8.1
16.3
Head-to-head
Last 4: SU 3-1 · ATS 0-0 from Houston's side
Game recap
| Metric | Oregon State | Houston |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.405 | 0.500 |
| Explosiveness | 1.340 | 1.250 |
| Havoc | 0.135 | 0.216 |
| PPA | 0.183 | 0.312 |
| Field position | 77.700 | 70.500 |
Passing
- Braden Atkinson · Oregon State29/48 · 376 yds · 11.1 aDOT
- Conner Weigman · Houston20/30 · 305 yds · 10.9 aDOT
- Keisean Henderson · Houston0/1 · 0 yds · 24.0 aDOT
