Oregon State @ No. 23 Houston
9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ESPN · 89° · Wind 0 mph · Cloudy · 20–33 F
Our pick Oregon State +21.0Covered by 8.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -21.0 → now -21.0 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -20.5 | 50.5 |
| DraftKings | -21.0 | 50.5 |
| Draft Kings | -21.0 | 50.5 |
Houston ML · Model 93% · Book 89%
Oregon State off a byeHouston off a byeOregon State +28 days restOregon State travels 1834 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Oregon State +21.0OC Spread Houston -16.0OC Total 51.54.6 pts vs market
Win probability
Oregon State 7%Houston 93%
Oregon StatePower ratingsHouston
SP+Houston by 16.2
-4.6
11.6
FPIHouston by 13.7
-4.5
9.2
Elo (pts)Houston by 9.4
-8.6
0.8
COREHouston by 5.0
-3.6
1.5
Head-to-head
Last 4: SU 3-1 · ATS 0-0 from Houston's side
Game recap
| Metric | Oregon State | Houston |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.405 | 0.500 |
| Explosiveness | 1.340 | 1.250 |
| Havoc | 0.135 | 0.216 |
| PPA | 0.183 | 0.312 |
| Field position | 77.700 | 70.500 |
Passing
- Braden Atkinson · Oregon State29/48 · 376 yds · 11.1 aDOT
- Conner Weigman · Houston20/30 · 305 yds · 10.9 aDOT
- Keisean Henderson · Houston0/1 · 0 yds · 24.0 aDOT