Boston College @ Cincinnati
9/5/2026, 7:30:00 PM · FOX · 84° · Wind 5 mph · Fair · 15–34 F
Our pick Cincinnati -7.0Covered by 12.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -7.5 → now -7.0 · total 51.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -7.0 | 51.5 |
| Draft Kings | -7.0 | 51.5 |
| Bovada | -7.0 | 51.0 |
Cincinnati ML · Model 70% · Book 70%
Boston College off a byeCincinnati off a byeBoston College +34 days restBoston College travels 732 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Cincinnati -7.0OC Spread Cincinnati -15.5OC Total 53.08.5 pts vs market
Win probability
Boston College 30%Cincinnati 70%
Boston CollegePower ratingsCincinnati
SP+Cincinnati by 10.9
-3.3
7.6
FPICincinnati by 12.5
-3.9
8.6
Elo (pts)Cincinnati by 5.4
-4.8
0.6
CORECincinnati by 4.1
-2.9
1.2
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-2 · ATS 0-0 from Cincinnati's side
- 2019 · Cincinnati 38–6unpriced
- 1997 · Cincinnati 24–6unpriced
- 1996 · Cincinnati 17–24unpriced
- 1988 · Cincinnati 7–41unpriced
- 1985 · Cincinnati 24–17unpriced
Game recap
| Metric | Boston College | Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.347 | 0.408 |
| Explosiveness | 1.540 | 1.280 |
| Havoc | 0.143 | 0.224 |
| PPA | 0.082 | 0.307 |
| Field position | 73.800 | 77.100 |
Passing
- Mason McKenzie · Boston College18/35 · 223 yds · 8.2 aDOT
- JC French · Cincinnati10/14 · 77 yds · 6.7 aDOT
- Samaj Jones · Cincinnati1/1 · -1 yds · -3.0 aDOT
- Malachi Henry · Cincinnati1/1 · 8 yds · 2.0 aDOT