Option Country
← Week 8 board

No. 7 Ole Miss @ No. 19 Texas

10/24/2026, 11:30:00 PM · ABC · 80° · Wind 3 mph · Clear · 27–34 F

Our pick Texas -6.5Covered by 0.5

Line movement

Home spread. Open -8.5 → now -3.0 · total 55.0

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings-3.054.5
Bovada-3.055.0

Texas ML · Model 76% · Book 59% · value Texas

Ole Miss travels 555 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

Our pick Texas -6.5OC Spread Texas -8.0OC Total 55.05.0 pts vs market
Ole MissPower ratingsTexas
SP+Texas by 5.7
14.7
20.4
FPITexas by 2.5
21.5
24.0
Elo (pts)Ole Miss by 1.5
18.9
17.4
COREOle Miss by 4.7
13.8
9.0
WEPAOle Miss by 1.4
9.9
8.5
SRSTexas by 0.3
20.6
20.9

Game recap

MetricOle MissTexas
Success rate0.3540.384
Explosiveness1.4401.370
Havoc0.1780.183
PPA0.0160.144
Field position70.50073.200

Passing

  • Trinidad Chambliss · Ole Miss25/52 · 250 yds · 8.6 aDOT
  • Arch Manning · Texas18/30 · 212 yds · 9.6 aDOT

Win probability