No. 11 Tennessee @ South Carolina
10/24/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ESPN · 71° · Wind 4 mph · Clear · 24–27 F
Our pick Tennessee +1.5Did not cover by 1.5
Line movement
Home spread. Open +2.5 → now -2.5 · total 50.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -2.5 | 50.5 |
| Bovada | -2.5 | 50.5 |
South Carolina ML · Model 40% · Book 99% · value Tennessee
South Carolina off a byeSouth Carolina +7 days rest
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Tennessee +1.5OC Spread South Carolina +3.0OC Total 54.05.3 pts vs market
TennesseePower ratingsSouth Carolina
SP+Tennessee by 6.9
17.9
11.0
FPITennessee by 3.2
16.7
13.5
Elo (pts)Tennessee by 3.4
13.2
9.8
CORETennessee by 3.9
15.3
11.4
WEPATennessee by 2.1
9.4
7.4
SRSTennessee by 5.5
16.6
11.1
Game recap
| Metric | Tennessee | South Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.446 | 0.415 |
| Explosiveness | 0.880 | 1.360 |
| Havoc | 0.215 | 0.149 |
| PPA | -0.008 | 0.137 |
| Field position | 69.500 | 68.400 |
Passing
- Lanorris Sellers · South Carolina18/32 · 210 yds · 7.2 aDOT
- George MacIntyre · Tennessee16/23 · 136 yds · 4.1 aDOT
