Vanderbilt @ No. 12 Kentucky
10/24/2026, 11:30:00 PM · SEC Network · 61° · Wind 2 mph · Cloudy · 17–34 F
Our pick Kentucky -10.0Covered by 7.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open -9.5 → now -10.0 · total 51.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -9.5 | 51.5 |
| Bovada | -10.5 | 51.5 |
Kentucky ML · Model 90% · Book 78% · value Kentucky
Ratings matchup
OC Model projected score
Our pick Kentucky -10.0OC Spread Kentucky -15.0OC Total 55.55.2 pts vs market
VanderbiltPower ratingsKentucky
SP+Kentucky by 12.0
-1.4
10.6
FPIKentucky by 12.7
0.3
13.0
Elo (pts)Kentucky by 3.7
1.7
5.4
COREKentucky by 17.1
-4.0
13.1
WEPAKentucky by 15.0
-5.9
9.1
SRSKentucky by 17.7
-2.7
15.0
Game recap
| Metric | Vanderbilt | Kentucky |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.382 | 0.561 |
| Explosiveness | 1.660 | 0.870 |
| Havoc | 0.091 | 0.236 |
| PPA | 0.074 | 0.317 |
| Field position | 72.800 | 62.400 |
Passing
- Jared Curtis · Vanderbilt27/36 · 247 yds · 5.7 aDOT
- Kenny Minchey · Kentucky19/26 · 203 yds · 9.0 aDOT