No. 16 Florida @ No. 7 Texas
10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM · ABC · 61° · Wind 4 mph · Clear · 27–24 F
Line movement
Home spread. Open -9.5 → now -13.0 · total 51.5
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -13.5 | 51.5 |
| Bovada | -12.5 | 51.0 |
Texas ML · Model 87% · Book 79% · value Texas
Florida travels 921 mi
Ratings matchup
OC Spread Texas -13.5OC Total 54.00.5 pts vs market
FloridaPower ratingsTexas
SP+Texas by 9.8
10.6
20.4
FPITexas by 10.1
13.9
24.0
Elo (pts)Texas by 12.3
5.2
17.4
COREFlorida by 0.3
9.3
9.0
WEPATexas by 0.5
8.1
8.5
SRSTexas by 7.5
13.4
20.9
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 3-1 · ATS 0-0 from Texas's side
Game recap
| Metric | Florida | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.337 | 0.412 |
| Explosiveness | 1.160 | 1.070 |
| Havoc | 0.275 | 0.157 |
| PPA | 0.092 | -0.126 |
| Field position | 65.800 | 75.900 |
Passing
- Tramell Jones Jr. · Florida22/35 · 155 yds · 6.4 aDOT
- Arch Manning · Texas14/20 · 173 yds · 6.9 aDOT