No. 6 Alabama @ No. 14 Tennessee
10/17/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ABC · 61° · Wind 2 mph · Cloudy · 10–26 F
Our pick Tennessee +8.0Covered by 24.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +1.5 → now +8.0 · total 51.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +7.5 | 50.5 |
| Bovada | +8.0 | 51.0 |
Tennessee ML · Model 38% · Book 29% · value Tennessee
Ratings matchup
Our pick Tennessee +8.0OC Spread Tennessee +3.5OC Total 55.04.2 pts vs market
AlabamaPower ratingsTennessee
SP+Alabama by 3.0
20.9
17.9
FPIAlabama by 7.8
24.5
16.7
Elo (pts)Alabama by 4.4
17.6
13.2
COREAlabama by 11.2
26.5
15.3
WEPAAlabama by 7.2
16.6
9.4
SRSAlabama by 7.0
23.6
16.6
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Tennessee's side
Game recap
| Metric | Alabama | Tennessee |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.327 | 0.446 |
| Explosiveness | 0.960 | 0.970 |
| Havoc | 0.108 | 0.327 |
| PPA | -0.289 | 0.083 |
| Field position | 67.200 | 67.700 |
Passing
- George MacIntyre · Tennessee21/31 · 197 yds · 3.9 aDOT
- Keelon Russell · Alabama19/29 · 147 yds · 9.0 aDOT