No. 1 Texas vs No. 24 Oklahoma
10/10/2026, 7:30:00 PM · ABC · 89° · Wind 5 mph · Clear · 24–27 F
Our pick Texas -8.0Did not cover by 11.0
Line movement
Home spread. Open +6.0 → now +8.0 · total 41.0
Books
| Book | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +7.5 | 40.5 |
| Bovada | +8.0 | 41.0 |
Oklahoma ML · Model 17% · Book 26% · value Texas
Texas off a byeOklahoma off a bye
Ratings matchup
Our pick Texas -8.0OC Spread Oklahoma +11.0OC Total 44.03.4 pts vs market
TexasPower ratingsOklahoma
SP+Texas by 10.1
20.4
10.3
FPITexas by 11.9
24.0
12.1
Elo (pts)Texas by 10.4
17.4
7.0
COREOklahoma by 1.1
9.0
10.1
WEPATexas by 2.8
8.5
5.8
SRSTexas by 14.5
20.9
6.4
Head-to-head
Last 5: SU 2-3 · ATS 0-0 from Oklahoma's side
Game recap
| Metric | Texas | Oklahoma |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | 0.354 | 0.339 |
| Explosiveness | 1.370 | 0.810 |
| Havoc | 0.237 | 0.169 |
| PPA | -0.077 | -0.022 |
| Field position | 71.800 | 73.600 |
Passing
- Arch Manning · Texas19/31 · 260 yds · 10.3 aDOT
- John Mateer · Oklahoma18/26 · 155 yds · 8.7 aDOT