Option Country
← Week 6 board

No. 15 Tennessee @ Arkansas

10/10/2026, 8:15:00 PM · SEC Network · 89° · Wind 0 mph · Clear · 24–17 F

Line movement

Home spread. Open +13.5 → now +14.0 · total 51.5

Books

BookSpreadTotal
DraftKings+13.551.5
Bovada+14.051.5

Arkansas ML · Model 11% · Book 19% · value Tennessee

Tennessee travels 573 mi

Ratings matchup

OC Model projected score

OC Spread Arkansas +14.5OC Total 54.50.7 pts vs market
TennesseePower ratingsArkansas
SP+Tennessee by 18.3
17.9
-0.4
FPITennessee by 16.1
16.7
0.6
Elo (pts)Tennessee by 14.0
13.2
-0.9
CORETennessee by 24.0
15.3
-8.7
WEPATennessee by 14.7
9.4
-5.3
SRSTennessee by 18.0
16.6
-1.4

Head-to-head

Last 5: SU 4-1 · ATS 0-0 from Arkansas's side

Game recap

MetricTennesseeArkansas
Success rate0.4440.429
Explosiveness1.4100.910
Havoc0.2060.175
PPA0.180-0.022
Field position70.40069.800

Passing

  • George MacIntyre · Tennessee18/29 · 247 yds · 6.1 aDOT
  • KJ Jackson · Arkansas15/27 · 155 yds · 4.9 aDOT

Win probability